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Chris DeMuth Jr's avatar

Good idea and write up; I love direct indexing and do it for most of my PA.

Michael's avatar

Very interesting write-up, thanks for sharing it! It seems like a great thesis you've presented, and given the rate of growth the valuation is obviously compelling. I do have a couple of questions.

The first is that EBIT margins were the same in the first 3 quarters of 2024 as they were in the most recent quarter, even though revenue grew significantly. I would have expected some operating leverage, or do you think that's just due to IPO expenses? If they can continue growing at their current pace and add operating leverage this is a home-run. I'd also push back a bit on the 'growing by word of mouth' bit, as their marketing expenses have pretty consistently been >10% of revenue. Given the growth in clients (20% y/y) that seems like it was a good spend.

There was also this line in most recent quarterly report:

"As of October 31, 2025, unrecognized stock-based compensation expense related to unvested RSUs was $338.5 million, which is expected to be recognized over a weighted-average period of 1.6 years."

That will eliminate more than 100% of earnings during the upcoming period. Which is fine and the market would look past that I think. But they also issued $85MM of new RSU's in Jan 2025. It looks to me like they haven't previously been expensing those because they didn't vest until the IPO. But if they have $90 MM of yearly RSU expense against $120 MM in income before that expense I think that'll be a problem for their valuation.

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