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Pebble Path Investments's avatar

Equity amounts to 20.6 Mio and operating CF is -1.9 Mio. (for 6 months) as per end of June 2025. "Fair value" equity is a lot higher because of the real estate. Let's add 24 Mio. = about 44 Mio (I calculate a value for the real estate of 55.4 Mio. compared to a book value of 31.4 Mio.) . So price to book is very low (MC about 5% of BV). I don't like the negative cash flow and the high debts / liabilities. On the other hand, net loss of 4.4 Mio. (6 months) is not so high compared to sales (88.7 Mio.), about 5%.

It is a speculative bet on successful restructuring, but that would be gambling. I do feel that the company is worth more than 2.3 Mio., but I can't say how much more. It may be possible to use a liquidation value, e.g. 50% of the book value (excluding hidden reserves on the properties, as other non-current assets may be worthless in a liquidation). This would give us a figure of around 10 Mio. (?)

Another issue is the very low liquidity of this stock.

Otherwise, a great blog!

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